Alex Tardy to discuss weather forecasting

file photo

Alex Tardy, meteorologist with the National Weather Service’s San Diego office, returns to Idyllwild this month.

As part of National Preparedness Month, the Hill’s Mountain Disaster Preparedness group has invited Tardy to discuss recent NWS winter forecasts and expectations for this winter.

“We’ve had a dry El Niño and a wet La Niña. I thought it would be helpful to learn what happened to those forecasts,” said Mike Feyder, MDP president. “He’ll discuss the reasons and causes [of the difference] and weather predictions about what will happen this winter.”

In September 2015, Tardy came to Idyllwild to discuss the multiple El Niño forecast warnings. More than 150 people filled the Idyllwild Library to hear him.

Attendees did not leave disappointed. The Town Crier gave his talk positive reviews: “Tardy, who spoke without notes, … Fluent, engaging and frequently entertaining. “

At the time, Tardy did share forecasters’ concerns that extreme weather is a difficult prediction and, “There is a little unknown about what is developing.”

But based on the science and forecasts, he did tell the full room of locals, “We’re going to be seeing a lot of precipitation in Southern California, even while the drought persists.”

In his proclamation of September as National Preparedness Month, Gov Jerry Brown said, “Given the hazardous world we inhabit, the net emergency is always just around the corner, and preparedness can mean the difference between inconvenience and tragedy.”

Feyder not only endorses this concern for preparation, but directly referred to damage — human and property — hurricanes Harvey and Irma have recently caused in Texas and Florida.

The presentation begins at 6 p.m. Thursday, Sept. 28, at Town Hall.